Combat Edge Intelligence

Khadis Ibragimov vs Kirill Kornilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record20-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
78"ReachRussia
205 lbsWeight261 lbs
Sambo PiterTeamSech Pro· 1667 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Kirill Kornilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Khadis Ibragimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Khadis IbragimovNow 1656
If they win+19→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1643
Kirill KornilovNow 1733
If they win+9→ 1742
If they lose-15→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.55
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
0.97
Takedown avg.
Not available
30%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
81%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.32
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Khadis IbragimovKirill Kornilov
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (5%)
4 (40%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Kirill Kornilov67%
Khadis Ibragimov 33%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Kirill Kornilov a 67% favorite over Khadis Ibragimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Kirill Kornilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1656, a 77-point edge.

Khadis Ibragimov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kirill Kornilov 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.