Combat Edge Intelligence

Khadis Ibragimov vs Matt Gawlik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Gawlik
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Matt Gawlik

“Bear Wolf”

6-0-0HeavyweightCFFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

11-8-0Record6-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach-
205 lbsWeight235 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khadis IbragimovNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Matt GawlikNow 1639
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.55
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
0.97
Takedown avg.
Not available
30%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
81%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.32
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Khadis IbragimovMatt Gawlik
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Gawlik56%
Khadis Ibragimov 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Gawlik a 56% favorite over Khadis Ibragimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khadis Ibragimov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Khadis Ibragimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Gawlik enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Khadis Ibragimov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Matt Gawlik 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.