Combat Edge Intelligence

Khalid Murtazaliev vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72.5"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club KrepostTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khalid MurtazalievNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.80
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
70%
Strike accuracy
53%
0.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
79%
Strike defense
60%
7.50
Takedown avg.
1.02
100%
Takedown accuracy
42%
33%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Khalid MurtazalievMichał Oleksiejczuk
170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (23%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk60%
Khalid Murtazaliev 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 60% favorite over Khalid Murtazaliev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khalid Murtazaliev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1704), separated by just 0 points.

Khalid Murtazaliev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Khalid Murtazaliev finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Michał Oleksiejczuk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.