Combat Edge Intelligence

Khalid Satuev vs Paulo Filho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record24-6-3
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
ChampionTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khalid SatuevNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Paulo FilhoNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.75
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
43%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.55

Trajectory

Khalid SatuevPaulo Filho
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (21%)
3 (21%)
Submission
9 (38%)
5 (36%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Khalid Satuev73%
Paulo Filho 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khalid Satuev a 73% favorite over Paulo Filho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1731), separated by just 3 points.

Khalid Satuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Khalid Satuev finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Filho 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.