Combat Edge Intelligence

Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

Khalil Rountree Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Khalil Rountree Jr.Now 1685
If they win+13→ 1698
If they lose-19→ 1666
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+15→ 1626
If they lose-9→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
41%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
50%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
59%
Takedown defense
54%
0.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Khalil Rountree Jr.Marcin Prachnio
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Khalil Rountree Jr.70%
Marcin Prachnio 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Khalil Rountree Jr. a 70% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Khalil Rountree Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1611, a 74-point edge.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Khalil Rountree Jr. finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Khalil Rountree Jr. and Marcin Prachnio share 1 common opponent: Modestas Bukauskas.

Khalil Rountree Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2021
Modestas Bukauskas
LossSubmission · 2024