Khamzat Abaev vs Luca Poclit
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Terranova ASBLTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Luca Poclit is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Khamzat Abaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1655
If they lose-22→ 1607
If they win+15→ 1672
If they lose-17→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Khamzat AbaevLuca Poclit
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Abaev51%
Luca Poclit 49%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 51% favorite over Luca Poclit in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luca Poclit's way (46%).
Luca Poclit holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1629, a 28-point edge.
Luca Poclit enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Khamzat Abaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luca Poclit 70%.
Luca Poclit carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.