Khamzat Abaev vs Ryan Thomas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Terranova ASBLTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Khamzat AbaevRyan Thomas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Abaev63%
Ryan Thomas 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 63% favorite over Ryan Thomas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1629), separated by just 0 points.
Ryan Thomas enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Khamzat Abaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Thomas 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.