Khamzat Abaev vs Sal Everett
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Sal Everett52%
Khamzat Abaev 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sal Everett a 52% favorite over Khamzat Abaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khamzat Abaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.
Sal Everett enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Khamzat Abaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sal Everett 100%.
Sal Everett carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
71"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight175 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Khamzat AbaevSal Everett