Combat Edge Intelligence

Khamzat Abaev vs Sean Pierson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Pierson
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Sean Pierson

“The Punisher”

14-6-0WelterweightUFC

1632Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Terranova ASBLTeamTap Star

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khamzat AbaevNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Sean PiersonNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.39
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Khamzat AbaevSean Pierson
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
1 (17%)
Submission
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Khamzat Abaev60%
Sean Pierson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 60% favorite over Sean Pierson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Pierson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1632), separated by just 3 points.

Sean Pierson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Khamzat Abaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sean Pierson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.