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Combat Edge Intelligence

Khamzat Abaev vs Subaru Mori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Terranova ASBLTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1640 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khamzat AbaevNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
Subaru MoriNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Khamzat AbaevSubaru Mori
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
1 (17%)
Submission
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Khamzat Abaev59%
Subaru Mori 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 59% favorite over Subaru Mori in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Subaru Mori's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.

Subaru Mori enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Khamzat Abaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Subaru Mori 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.