Combat Edge Intelligence

Khamzat Abaev vs Subaru Mori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khamzat AbaevNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Subaru MoriNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Khamzat AbaevSubaru Mori
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
1 (17%)
Submission
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Khamzat Abaev and Subaru Mori within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1633), separated by just 4 points.

Subaru Mori enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Khamzat Abaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Subaru Mori 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.