Khamzat Chimaev vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record27-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75" Reach73"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Khamzat Chimaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Robert Whittaker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1840
If they lose-19→ 1808
If they win+15→ 1767
If they lose-9→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Khamzat ChimaevRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev76%
Robert Whittaker 24%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 76% favorite over Robert Whittaker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Khamzat Chimaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1752, a 75-point edge.
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.
Khamzat Chimaev and Robert Whittaker share 1 common opponent: Dricus Du Plessis.
Khamzat Chimaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.