Khamzat Chimaev vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75" Reach73"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Khamzat Chimaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Robert Whittaker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1840
If they lose-20→ 1808
If they win+15→ 1754
If they lose-9→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Khamzat ChimaevRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev87%
Robert Whittaker 13%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 87% favorite over Robert Whittaker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Khamzat Chimaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1828 to 1739, a 89-point edge.
Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.
Khamzat Chimaev and Robert Whittaker share 1 common opponent: Dricus Du Plessis.
Khamzat Chimaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.