Khaos Williams vs Michel Pereira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record32-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamOvercome Academy
What's at stake
Khaos Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michel Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1735
If they lose-17→ 1703
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-11→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Khaos WilliamsMichel Pereira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khaos Williams51%
Michel Pereira 49%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Khaos Williams a 51% favorite over Michel Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Khaos Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1692, a 28-point edge.
Khaos Williams finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.
Khaos Williams carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.