Khaos Williams vs Miguel Baeza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
77"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Khaos Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Miguel Baeza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1719
If they lose-18→ 1687
If they win+18→ 1669
If they lose-14→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Khaos WilliamsMiguel Baeza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khaos Williams87%
Miguel Baeza 13%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Khaos Williams a 87% favorite over Miguel Baeza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Khaos Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1651, a 54-point edge.
Miguel Baeza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Khaos Williams finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Miguel Baeza 80%.
Khaos Williams carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.