Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiefer Crosbie vs Kris McCray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kris McCray
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Kris McCray

“Savage”

9-5-0WelterweightSOFC

1570Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamIron Army

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Kris McCrayNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
52%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.69
Takedown avg.
2.88
40%
Takedown accuracy
56%
100%
Takedown defense
38%
0.34
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kiefer CrosbieKris McCray
155016002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
2 (20%)
Submission
5 (56%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiefer Crosbie51%
Kris McCray 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiefer Crosbie a 51% favorite over Kris McCray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kris McCray's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1570), separated by just 3 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Kris McCray 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.