Kiefer Crosbie vs Taiyilake Nueraji
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record12-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
70"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
Taiyilake Nueraji is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kiefer Crosbie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1589
If they lose-10→ 1557
If they win+10→ 1718
If they lose-22→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kiefer CrosbieTaiyilake Nueraji
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taiyilake Nueraji92%
Kiefer Crosbie 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Taiyilake Nueraji a 92% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Taiyilake Nueraji holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1567, a 141-point edge.
Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Taiyilake Nueraji enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Taiyilake Nueraji 100%.
Taiyilake Nueraji carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.