Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiefer Crosbie vs Roman Mitichyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Roman MitichyanNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.61
Sig. strikes / min
0.26
52%
Strike accuracy
17%
6.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
51%
Strike defense
43%
0.69
Takedown avg.
1.93
40%
Takedown accuracy
100%
100%
Takedown defense
25%
0.34
Submission avg.
1.93

Trajectory

Kiefer CrosbieRoman Mitichyan
155016002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
2 (20%)
Submission
5 (63%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Mitichyan51%
Kiefer Crosbie 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Mitichyan a 51% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1570), separated by just 3 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roman Mitichyan enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Roman Mitichyan 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.