Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiefer Crosbie vs Steve Bruno

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Bruno
us

Steve Bruno

“Hollywood”

15-6-0MiddleweightFTP

1568Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight174 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Steve BrunoNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.61
Sig. strikes / min
0.96
52%
Strike accuracy
52%
6.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
51%
Strike defense
36%
0.69
Takedown avg.
1.94
40%
Takedown accuracy
25%
100%
Takedown defense
46%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Kiefer CrosbieSteve Bruno
15501600201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
2 (20%)
Submission
7 (47%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Bruno53%
Kiefer Crosbie 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Bruno a 53% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Steve Bruno 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.