Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiefer Crosbie vs Yota Hayashi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record13-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamReversal Gym Osaka Anne

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiefer CrosbieNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Yota HayashiNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.61
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.69
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.34
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kiefer CrosbieYota Hayashi
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (15%)
3 (30%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Yota Hayashi66%
Kiefer Crosbie 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yota Hayashi a 66% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Yota Hayashi enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Yota Hayashi 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.