Kiichi Kunimoto vs Luiz Dutra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-2Record13-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71,0"ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cobra Kai MMA DojoTeamRenovacao Fight Team
What's at stake
Kiichi Kunimoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Luiz Dutra carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1621
If they lose-17→ 1597
If they win+33→ 1509
If they lose-15→ 1461
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kiichi KunimotoLuiz Dutra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kiichi Kunimoto64%
Luiz Dutra 36%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Kiichi Kunimoto a 64% favorite over Luiz Dutra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Kiichi Kunimoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1476, a 138-point edge.
Kiichi Kunimoto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luiz Dutra enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kiichi Kunimoto finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Luiz Dutra 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.