Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiichi Kunimoto vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
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Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

32-14-0WelterweightUFC

1768Great

Tale of the tape

20-10-2Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
71,0"Reach80"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cobra Kai MMA DojoTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Kiichi Kunimoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kiichi KunimotoNow 1614
If they win+17→ 1631
If they lose-7→ 1607
Neil MagnyNow 1768
If they win+7→ 1775
If they lose-17→ 1751

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
41%
Strike defense
52%
1.59
Takedown avg.
2.17
20%
Takedown accuracy
25%
29%
Takedown defense
55%
0.32
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Kiichi KunimotoNeil Magny
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
10 (31%)
10 (53%)
Submission
5 (16%)
7 (37%)
Decision
17 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny92%
Kiichi Kunimoto 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 92% favorite over Kiichi Kunimoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1614, a 154-point edge.

Kiichi Kunimoto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kiichi Kunimoto finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.

Neil Magny carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.