Combat Edge Intelligence

Kimbo Slice vs Matt Mitrione

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kimbo Slice
us

Kimbo Slice

“Kevin Ferguson”

5-2-0HeavyweightBFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
77"Reach43,0"
225 lbsWeight255 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Matt Mitrione is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kimbo Slice carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kimbo SliceNow 1594
If they win+27→ 1621
If they lose-21→ 1573
Matt MitrioneNow 1632
If they win+14→ 1646
If they lose-18→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
50%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
39%
Strike defense
65%
3.10
Takedown avg.
0
73%
Takedown accuracy
0%
36%
Takedown defense
55%
1.16
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Kimbo SliceMatt Mitrione
160016501700201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Mitrione60%
Kimbo Slice 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Mitrione a 60% favorite over Kimbo Slice in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Matt Mitrione holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1594, a 38-point edge.

Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kimbo Slice finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.