Kimo Leopoldo vs Paul Varelans
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-1Record9-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'8"
TBDReachTBD
235 lbsWeight300 lbs
Freelance· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Kimo Leopoldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Paul Varelans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1582
If they lose-19→ 1550
If they win+19→ 1527
If they lose-13→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kimo LeopoldoPaul Varelans
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kimo Leopoldo59%
Paul Varelans 41%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Kimo Leopoldo a 59% favorite over Paul Varelans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Kimo Leopoldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1569 to 1508, a 61-point edge.
Kimo Leopoldo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kimo Leopoldo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Varelans 89%.
Kimo Leopoldo and Paul Varelans share 1 common opponent: Dan Severn.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.