Kimo Leopoldo vs Royce Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-1Record15-2-3
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach--
235 lbsWeight176 lbs
Freelance· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGracie Humaita
What's at stake
Royce Gracie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kimo Leopoldo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1592
If they lose-9→ 1560
If they win+9→ 1734
If they lose-23→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kimo LeopoldoRoyce Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Royce Gracie67%
Kimo Leopoldo 33%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Royce Gracie a 67% favorite over Kimo Leopoldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Royce Gracie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1569, a 156-point edge.
Kimo Leopoldo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kimo Leopoldo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Royce Gracie 87%.
Kimo Leopoldo and Royce Gracie share 1 common opponent: Ken Shamrock.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.