King Green vs Lance Gibson Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
35-17-1Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71″Reach72"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamGibson Kickboxing & Pankration
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Lance Gibson Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-14→ 1696
If they win+19→ 1671
If they lose-13→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
King GreenLance Gibson Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green53%
Lance Gibson Jr. 47%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 53% favorite over Lance Gibson Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1652, a 58-point edge.
King Green enters on a 3-fight win streak.
King Green finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Lance Gibson Jr. 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.