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Combat Edge Intelligence

King Green vs Mauricio Ruffy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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King Green
us

King Green

“King”

36-18-1LightweightUFC

1709Good

Tale of the tape

36-18-1Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71″Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Mauricio Ruffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

King GreenNow 1709
If they win+13→ 1722
If they lose-11→ 1698
Mauricio RuffyNow 1732
If they win+15→ 1747
If they lose-17→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.49
Sig. strikes / min
4.19
53%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.83
62%
Strike defense
59%
1.32
Takedown avg.
0
9%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
87%
0.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

King GreenMauricio Ruffy
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (36%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
10 (28%)
Submission
0 (0%)
13 (36%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Mauricio Ruffy61%
King Green 39%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Mauricio Ruffy a 61% favorite over King Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Mauricio Ruffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1709, a 23-point edge.

King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.

Mauricio Ruffy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.