King Green vs Mauricio Ruffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-1Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71″Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamThe Fighting Nerds
What's at stake
Mauricio Ruffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1736
If they lose-11→ 1712
If they win+15→ 1763
If they lose-17→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
King GreenMauricio Ruffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting King Green and Mauricio Ruffy within a point of even.
Mauricio Ruffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1723, a 25-point edge.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.
Mauricio Ruffy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.