King Green vs Pat Healy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-1Record34-24-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Pat Healy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1708
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
King GreenPat Healy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green79%
Pat Healy 21%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 79% favorite over Pat Healy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1631, a 92-point edge.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Pat Healy 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.