King Green vs Rashid Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-1Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71″Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Rashid Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1736
If they lose-11→ 1712
If they win+11→ 1761
If they lose-13→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
King GreenRashid Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green62%
Rashid Magomedov 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 62% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rashid Magomedov's way (46%).
Rashid Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1723, a 27-point edge.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.