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Combat Edge Intelligence

King Green vs Rashid Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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King Green
us

King Green

“King”

36-18-1LightweightUFC

1709Good

Tale of the tape

36-18-1Record26-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71″Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamGorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Rashid Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

King GreenNow 1709
If they win+13→ 1722
If they lose-11→ 1698
Rashid MagomedovNow 1739
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-13→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.49
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
62%
Strike defense
55%
1.32
Takedown avg.
0.67
9%
Takedown accuracy
57%
72%
Takedown defense
89%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

King GreenRashid Magomedov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (35%)
10 (28%)
Submission
1 (4%)
13 (36%)
Decision
16 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Rashid Magomedov52%
King Green 48%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Rashid Magomedov a 52% favorite over King Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Rashid Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1709, a 30-point edge.

King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.