Kirill Grishenko vs Marcin Wójcik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record22-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
-Reach73.2"
247 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kirill GrishenkoMarcin Wójcik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Wójcik55%
Kirill Grishenko 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Wójcik a 55% favorite over Kirill Grishenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kirill Grishenko's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1664), separated by just 2 points.
Kirill Grishenko enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Marcin Wójcik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kirill Grishenko finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Wójcik 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.