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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kirill Grishenko vs Mario Sperry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight210 lbs
M2G Sports ClubTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kirill GrishenkoNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Mario SperryNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kirill GrishenkoMario Sperry
16001650200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
1 (10%)
Submission
3 (23%)
5 (50%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Kirill Grishenko66%
Mario Sperry 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kirill Grishenko a 66% favorite over Mario Sperry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1659), separated by just 3 points.

Kirill Grishenko enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Kirill Grishenko finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mario Sperry 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.