Combat Edge Intelligence

Kirill Kornilov vs Mario Pinto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-3-1Record12-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
RussiaReach79"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Sech Pro· 1681 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamUrban Warriors

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kirill KornilovNow 1737
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
Mario PintoNow 1742
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
70%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Kirill KornilovMario Pinto
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (8%)
8 (40%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Pinto60%
Kirill Kornilov 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 60% favorite over Kirill Kornilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1742), separated by just 5 points.

Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Kirill Kornilov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.