Combat Edge Intelligence

Kirill Kornilov vs Shamil Gaziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-3-1Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
RussiaReach78"
261 lbsWeight261 lbs
Sech Pro· 1681 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kirill KornilovNow 1737
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
Shamil GazievNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.92
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Kirill KornilovShamil Gaziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (20%)
8 (40%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kirill Kornilov and Shamil Gaziev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1730), separated by just 7 points.

Kirill Kornilov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gaziev 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.