Combat Edge Intelligence

Kirill Kornilov vs Soa Palelei

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Soa Palelei
au

Soa Palelei

“The Hulk”

22-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1736Good

Tale of the tape

20-3-1Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
RussiaReachTBD
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Sech Pro· 1681 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kirill KornilovNow 1737
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
Soa PaleleiNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kirill KornilovSoa Palelei
1700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
19 (86%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (14%)
8 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kirill Kornilov70%
Soa Palelei 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kirill Kornilov a 70% favorite over Soa Palelei in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1736), separated by just 1 points.

Kirill Kornilov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.