Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiru Sahota vs Ricardo Lemos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record5-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'7"
73"Reach-
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamCM System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiru SahotaNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Ricardo LemosNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kiru SahotaRicardo Lemos
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (80%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lemos79%
Kiru Sahota 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lemos a 79% favorite over Kiru Sahota in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiru Sahota's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Kiru Sahota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ricardo Lemos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kiru Sahota finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lemos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.