Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiyoshi Tamura vs Uran Satybaldiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-13-3Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
195 lbsWeight205 lbs
U-File CampTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiyoshi TamuraNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678
Uran SatybaldievNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Kiyoshi TamuraUran Satybaldiev
165017002007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
13 (50%)
Submission
2 (22%)
8 (31%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Uran Satybaldiev67%
Kiyoshi Tamura 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Uran Satybaldiev a 67% favorite over Kiyoshi Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiyoshi Tamura's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1686), separated by just 4 points.

Kiyoshi Tamura enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kiyoshi Tamura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.