Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiyoshi Tamura vs Valentin Moldavsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-13-3Record15-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
195 lbsWeight205 lbs
U-File CampTeamFedorTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiyoshi TamuraNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678
Valentin MoldavskyNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kiyoshi TamuraValentin Moldavsky
1650170020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
13 (50%)
Submission
3 (20%)
8 (31%)
Decision
10 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Valentin Moldavsky72%
Kiyoshi Tamura 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 72% favorite over Kiyoshi Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1693), separated by just 3 points.

Kiyoshi Tamura enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kiyoshi Tamura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.