Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiyoshi Tamura vs Will Fleury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-13-3Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
195 lbsWeight238 lbs
U-File CampTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiyoshi TamuraNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678
Will FleuryNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kiyoshi TamuraWill Fleury
1650170020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
13 (50%)
Submission
4 (24%)
8 (31%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Fleury72%
Kiyoshi Tamura 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Fleury a 72% favorite over Kiyoshi Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.

Kiyoshi Tamura enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kiyoshi Tamura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.