Combat Edge Intelligence

Kleber Koike vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-9-1Record37-14-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70.5"Reach69.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Bonsai Jiu-JitsuTeamT-Blood

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kleber KoikeNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Tatsuya KawajiriNow 1737
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.01
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Kleber KoikeTatsuya Kawajiri
175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
12 (33%)
29 (81%)
Submission
10 (28%)
5 (14%)
Decision
14 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Kleber Koike62%
Tatsuya Kawajiri 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kleber Koike a 62% favorite over Tatsuya Kawajiri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tatsuya Kawajiri's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1737), separated by just 1 points.

Kleber Koike finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Kawajiri 61%.

Kleber Koike carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.