Combat Edge Intelligence

Klidson Abreu vs Magomed Ankalaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record21-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74,0"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Klidson Abreu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Klidson AbreuNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-8→ 1640
Magomed AnkalaevNow 1848
If they win+8→ 1856
If they lose-24→ 1824

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
41%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.79
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
80%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Klidson AbreuMagomed Ankalaev
165017001750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
11 (52%)
10 (63%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Ankalaev92%
Klidson Abreu 8%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 92% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1648, a 200-point edge.

Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.