Combat Edge Intelligence

Klidson Abreu vs Magomed Ankalaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record20-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74,0"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamGorets Fight Club

What's at stake

Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Klidson Abreu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Klidson AbreuNow 1646
If they win+24→ 1670
If they lose-8→ 1638
Magomed AnkalaevNow 1835
If they win+8→ 1843
If they lose-24→ 1811

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1723 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
41%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.79
20%
Takedown accuracy
22%
80%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Klidson AbreuMagomed Ankalaev
17001800202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
10 (63%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Ankalaev84%
Klidson Abreu 16%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 84% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1835 to 1646, a 189-point edge.

Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.