Klidson Abreu vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record21-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74,0"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Klidson Abreu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1635
If they lose-6→ 1603
If they win+6→ 1859
If they lose-26→ 1827
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Klidson AbreuMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev81%
Klidson Abreu 19%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 81% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1609, a 244-point edge.
Klidson Abreu enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.