AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Klidson Abreu vs Nell Ariano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74,0"Reach79"
258 lbsWeight206 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamPlatinum MMA Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Klidson AbreuNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Nell ArianoNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
41%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0.64
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Klidson AbreuNell Ariano
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
10 (63%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Nell Ariano66%
Klidson Abreu 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nell Ariano a 66% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Klidson Abreu's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1606), separated by just 2 points.

Klidson Abreu enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nell Ariano 67%.

Nell Ariano carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.