Klidson Abreu vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record34-18-1
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Sam Alvey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Klidson Abreu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593
If they win+11→ 1650
If they lose-13→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Klidson AbreuSam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Alvey53%
Klidson Abreu 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Alvey a 53% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Sam Alvey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1608, a 31-point edge.
Klidson Abreu enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.