Klidson Abreu vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record34-18-1
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Klidson AbreuSam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Klidson Abreu62%
Sam Alvey 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Klidson Abreu a 62% favorite over Sam Alvey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1640), separated by just 6 points.
Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.