Combat Edge Intelligence

Klidson Abreu vs Shamil Gamzatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record14-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach76"
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRussian Top Team

What's at stake

Shamil Gamzatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Klidson Abreu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Klidson AbreuNow 1648
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633
Shamil GamzatovNow 1670
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-17→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
5.35
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Klidson AbreuShamil Gamzatov
1650170020232024

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
10 (63%)
Submission
5 (36%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Klidson Abreu and Shamil Gamzatov within a point of even.

Shamil Gamzatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1648, a 22-point edge.

Shamil Gamzatov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gamzatov 71%.

Klidson Abreu and Shamil Gamzatov share 1 common opponent: Viktor Nemkov.

Shamil Gamzatov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Rear Naked Choke · 2018
Viktor Nemkov
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024