Combat Edge Intelligence

Kody Steele vs Matheus Camilo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach 69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kody SteeleNow 1658
If they win+24→ 1682
If they lose-24→ 1634
Matheus CamiloNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
2.19
33%
Strike accuracy
43%
7.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
52%
Strike defense
64%
0.62
Takedown avg.
4.43
14%
Takedown accuracy
54%
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Kody SteeleMatheus Camilo
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (18%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Camilo63%
Kody Steele 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Camilo a 63% favorite over Kody Steele in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kody Steele's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Matheus Camilo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kody Steele finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.

Kody Steele carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.