Kohei Sugiyama vs Tom Creasey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record6-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
126 lbsWeight126 lbs
The Blackbelt Japan· 1640 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamRevolution Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kohei SugiyamaTom Creasey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kohei Sugiyama59%
Tom Creasey 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kohei Sugiyama a 59% favorite over Tom Creasey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.
Kohei Sugiyama enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kohei Sugiyama finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tom Creasey 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.