Koji Takeda vs Richie Smullen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-8-0Record15-5-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Koji TakedaRichie Smullen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koji Takeda60%
Richie Smullen 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 60% favorite over Richie Smullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.
Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Koji Takeda finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Richie Smullen 80%.
Richie Smullen carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.