Koji Takeda vs Victor Hugo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-8-0Record25-5-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"HeightTBD
68"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamIron Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1642
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Koji TakedaVictor Hugo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koji Takeda66%
Victor Hugo 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 66% favorite over Victor Hugo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Hugo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1655), separated by just 1 points.
Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Victor Hugo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Koji Takeda finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Victor Hugo 68%.
Victor Hugo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.