Combat Edge Intelligence

Konrad Rusiński vs Luke Barnatt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'6"
75"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Oleksiejczuk TeamTeamTsunami Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Konrad RusińskiNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Luke BarnattNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Konrad RusińskiLuke Barnatt
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
4 (50%)
Submission
4 (27%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Konrad Rusiński71%
Luke Barnatt 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Konrad Rusiński a 71% favorite over Luke Barnatt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1563), separated by just 1 points.

Luke Barnatt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Konrad Rusiński finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luke Barnatt 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.