Koyomi Matsushima vs Viktor Kolesnik
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Viktor Kolesnik79%
Koyomi Matsushima 21%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Viktor Kolesnik a 79% favorite over Koyomi Matsushima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Viktor Kolesnik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1587, a 142-point edge.
Koyomi Matsushima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Koyomi Matsushima finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Viktor Kolesnik 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record27-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
66"Reach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
AACCTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Viktor Kolesnik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Koyomi Matsushima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1604
If they lose-7→ 1580
If they win+7→ 1736
If they lose-17→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Koyomi MatsushimaViktor Kolesnik