Koyuru Tanoue vs Natalia Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record8-0-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'0"
-Reach-
114 lbsWeight115 lbs
Shooto Gym BlowsTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Natalia Alves is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Koyuru Tanoue carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1591
If they win+19→ 1693
If they lose-29→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Koyuru TanoueNatalia Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natalia Alves56%
Koyuru Tanoue 44%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Natalia Alves a 56% favorite over Koyuru Tanoue in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Natalia Alves holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1604, a 70-point edge.
Natalia Alves enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Koyuru Tanoue finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Natalia Alves 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.