Kris Moutinho vs Malcolm Wellmaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamFaglier's MMA
What's at stake
Malcolm Wellmaker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Kris Moutinho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-20→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kris MoutinhoMalcolm Wellmaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Malcolm Wellmaker75%
Kris Moutinho 25%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Malcolm Wellmaker a 75% favorite over Kris Moutinho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Malcolm Wellmaker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1585, a 96-point edge.
Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Malcolm Wellmaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kris Moutinho finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Wellmaker 80%.
Malcolm Wellmaker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.