Combat Edge Intelligence

Kris Moutinho vs Will Ribeiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamBoxe Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kris MoutinhoNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Will RibeiroNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
32%
Strike accuracy
28%
14.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
29%
Strike defense
75%
0
Takedown avg.
1.15
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
2.86

Trajectory

Kris MoutinhoWill Ribeiro
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
3 (21%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (36%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Kris Moutinho57%
Will Ribeiro 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kris Moutinho a 57% favorite over Will Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1582), separated by just 3 points.

Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kris Moutinho finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Will Ribeiro 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.